المؤشرات Yen rises sharply, Tokyo Core CPI next

Yen rises sharply, Tokyo Core CPI next

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The Japanese yen has posted strong gains on Thursday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 144.14, down 0.55% on the day. Earlier, USD/JPY fell as low as 143.75, its lowest level since June 13.

Tokyo Core CPI expected to drop to 3.3%

Tokyo Core CPI, a leading indicator of nationwide inflation trends, will be released early Thursday. Tokyo Core CPI hit 3.6% in May, its highest level in over two years. The market estimate for June stands at 3.3%.

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The Bank of Japan has signaled that more rate hikes are on the way, provided that inflation continues to move towards the BoJ’s level of a sustainable 2%. However, trade talks between the US and Japan have hit a snag, with Japan saying it can’t accept US tariffs of 25% on automobiles. The clock is ticking, as US reciprocal tariffs will take effect on July 9 without a deal.

Will BoJ hike rates in July?

The markets are eyeing a possible rate hike in July, which would be the first rate hike since January. The BoJ meets next on July 31, and if the two sides can reach a trade deal before then, it could cement a rate hike at that meeting. Even if the BoJ maintains rates at the upcoming meeting, investors will be keen to see the new inflation and growth forecasts.

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The BOJ’s summary of opinions from the June meeting, released Wednesday, didn’t provide much insight into the BoJ’s rate path. Board members were divided over whether to raise rates in a period of economic uncertainty over the impact of US tariffs on Japan’s economy.

USD/JPY Technical

  • There is support at 144.59 and 143.93
  • 145.27 and 145.93 are the next resistance lines
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USDJPY 1-Day Chart, June 26, 2025

USDJPY_2025-06-26_19-49-26

USDJPY 1-Day Chart, June 26, 2025

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